Recycled plastics market set to hit US$120 bn by 2030

Driven by mounting consumer demand for sustainable products and tighter regulations on plastic use, the global recycled plastics industry is on track to nearly double—from roughly $69.4 billion in 2023 to an estimated $120 billion by 2030, growing at an 8.1 percent annual pace . Major markets such as packaging, automotive, and electronics are increasingly substituting virgin resins with post-consumer and post-industrial feedstocks, reducing energy use by up to 130 million kJ per ton and curbing greenhouse emissions . At the same time, policymakers from the European Union’s binding 30 percent recycled-content mandate for packaging by 2030 to extended-producer-responsibility schemes in the United States are forging a clear path toward a circular plastics economy.

plastic recycle - freepik

Image credit: Freepik

The global recycled plastics market is set to nearly double in size over the next decade, climbing from an estimated US$ 69.4 billion in 2023 to US$ 120.0 billion by 2030,with a projected CAGR of 8.1%. This surge reflects rising demand from industries such as packaging, automotive, and electronics that seek lighter, greener materials. As public awareness grows and governments roll out stricter targets, innovators are deploying advanced mechanical and chemical recycling methods to turn waste into high-value feedstocks. These trends not only cut energy use—by as much as 130 million kilojoules per ton compared to virgin plastics —but also unlock new business opportunities and help curb the environmental toll of plastic pollution.

Consumers report strong support for products made with recycled content, yet actual purchasing lag suggests more work is needed to translate awareness into action. Campaigns led by the United Nations Environment Programme’s “Beat Plastic Pollution” initiative highlight that less than 10% of the seven billion tonnes of plastic waste generated to date has been recycled. In parallel, the Global Plastic Action Partnership has forged 25 national programs by 2025 to coordinate policy, infrastructure, and finance for waste management, marking a significant step toward circular-economy models.

Governments are translating commitments into solid measures. In Europe, plastics producers back a binding 30% recycled-content requirement for packaging by 2030, pushing manufacturers to secure reliable supply chains of post-consumer resin. Commission Regulation (EU) No 10/2011 also lays out strict safety criteria for recycled plastics in food-contact applications, safeguarding consumers while fostering reuse. Across the Atlantic, four U.S. states already mandate minimum percentages of recycled content in packaging, and several more are considering similar rules alongside extended producer-responsibility frameworks. The U.S. Plastics Pact, with over 130 member organizations, aims for 50% of plastic packaging to be effectively recycled or composted by 2025 and an average of 30% recycled content.

On the technology front, established mechanical recycling is evolving into advanced processes that deliver purer, higher-grade materials with lower energy costs. Chemical recycling methods—such as solvolysis, pyrolysis, and gasification—break down mixed plastic waste into monomers or feedstocks that match virgin quality. A recent breakthrough from Northwestern University uses moisture from the air and an inexpensive catalyst to depolymerize 94% of PET plastic into terephthalic acid in four hours, offering a scalable path to upcycling polyester waste. Meanwhile, companies like Samsara Eco have raised over US$ 100 million to commercialize enzymatic recycling of polyester and nylon, demonstrating investor confidence in circular-chemistry solutions.

Recycling plastics delivers clear environmental benefits. It can reduce carbon emissions by up to 42% compared to producing virgin resin and prevents millions of tonnes of waste from reaching waterways. Yet an urgent gap remains: roughly 19–23 million tonnes of plastic leak into aquatic ecosystems each year, harming wildlife and human health. Beyond environmental urgency, there is a compelling business case: waste-to-resource technologies could tap into a potential USD 120-billion market in North America alone, as major brands seek dependable, compliant sources of recycled feedstock. Companies that lead in recycling innovation stand to capture high-margin revenue streams and meet tightening corporate sustainability goals.

To seize this opportunity, stakeholders must expand collection networks, refine sorting systems, and invest in next-generation recycling plants. Policymakers should align incentives—such as tax credits, grants, and procurement rules—with circular-economy targets, while brands pledge transparent recycled-content commitments. Consumers can support the shift by choosing products with clear PCR (post-consumer recycled) labels and participating in local recycling programs. When technology, policy, and market forces converge, recycled plastics will no longer be a niche. They will become a cornerstone of a resilient, low-carbon materials economy—protecting ecosystems, powering new industries, and generating substantial economic value by 2030 and beyond.

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